DISCUSS AND COMMENT ON THE DIFFERENCES IN THE MORTALITY PARAMETERS (CDR AND I-SDR) AND PATTERNS OF CHINESE AND GERMAN POPULATION.
ASSIGNMENT 2 – PART 2 (MKTG127) Assignment 2 – Part 2 MKTG127 DEMOGRAPHIC FUNDAMENTALS Data Analysis and Interpretation (Due Date: Week 12 – Thursday, 2 Nov 2017, 5 pm) Overview In this assignment, students will work on data analysis questions. The answers should include its working steps. Any correct answers without its working out will not be given a full mark. This assignment focuses on mortality/standardisation and population projection. Students must complete it independently. Penalties for cheating can be severe. Marks for each question are given in square brackets. The maximum credit for this assignment will be 12.5% of the total for the unit. Submission The hardcopy of assignment should be submitted to your tutor at the tutorial time. It should have a cover sheet which could be downloaded from the iLearn. The softcopy of your assignment should be uploaded to iLearn on the same submission day. No limit of maximum length of the answer to each question (Q1 and Q2). Q1. Mortality and Standardisation [40 Marks] The estimated numbers of population by age on 30/6/2015 and the number of death in 2015 for China and for Germany are given in the following table: Age x China Germany Population Death (N) Population Death (N) 0-9 158,600,000 196,390 6,820,000 2,830 10-19 161,490,000 47,100 7,610,000 1,120 20-29 229,640,000 135,680 9,430,000 3,090 30-39 193,590,000 187,890 9,650,000 5,660 40-49 236,690,000 454,130 11,780,000 17,500 50-59 174,900,000 897,920 12,990,000 57,600 60-69 127,360,000 2,171,550 9,490,000 100,020 70-79 60,350,000 3,010,070 8,370,000 220,070 80+ 24,870,000 3,453,080 4,710,000 535,300 Total 1,367,490,000 10,553,810 80,850,000 943,190 Using the mortality data provided previously, answer the following questions: a. Estimate the age specific death rates (ASDR, per 1000 pop.) and crude death rates (CDR, per 1000 pop.) for Chinese population and for German population in 2015. Note: use 3 decimal places (dcp.) for the ASDR and CDR. 2 ASSIGNMENT 2 – PART 2 (MKTG127) b. Using the 2015 China population as the standard population, calculate the indirectly standardised death rates (I-SDR) for German population and for Chinese population (Note: use 3 dcp. decimal point for I-SDR). c. If the standardised mortality ratio (SMR) for German population is estimated 2.20 and for Chinese population is estimated 1.00. Using the 2015 Chinese population as the standard population, what are the new values of the indirectly standardised mortality rates (I-SDR) for German population and for Chinese population? d. Using the results from questions 1.a. and 1.b, discuss and comment on the differences in the mortality parameters (CDR and I-SDR) and patterns of Chinese and German population. Please justify if we do need to use a standardisation method or not and what are the possible reasons for this. Q2. Fertility and Population Projection [60 Marks] The estimated numbers of females in China and in German by age on 30/6/2015 and age-specific fertility rates – ASFR (per 1000) in 2015 are presented in the following table: Age (x) China Germany Number of females on 30/06/2015 ASFR in 2015 (per 1000) Number of females on 30/
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