Mortgage interest rates are expected to rise considerably in 2018. If the economy grows too fast, The Federal Reserve will have to raise interest rates faster than expected. That could make borrowing money more expensive. If that happens, the likelihood of a recession increases.
Not only would this drive up interest rates, but reduce private sector investments and diminish the country’s creditworthiness. When inflation is too low, it can hurt the economy. Businesses get queasy about investing in people and equipment. If prices don’t rise, wages don’t either. But out-of-control inflation can also be harmful. As I see it, the current fiscal path is unsustainable. The Republican tax cuts could not come at a worse time, and I think it will hasten inflation and prematurely bring a recession.
The effectiveness of mortgage interest rates rising is in my opinion, is nonexistent. It is like a dog chasing its own tail. With the passage of the tax reform bill, which essentially lowered the income tax rate, the Federal Reserve raised or is raising mortgage interest rates. So, this essentially takes the money that was saved by paying lower income tax and essentially puts it toward paying the cost associated with a higher mortgage. True, not everyone owns a home. But if you plan to buy one, this will make it considerably more expensive. The efficiency of raising mortgage interest rates is has both equal value and detriment. Keeping mortgage rates low allows more people to afford housing, stimulating the economy. By raising interest rates, the cost of owning a home is more and less people purchase homes, which is a key sign of inflation. Either way, I believe the policy on raising or lowering mortgage interest rates is ethical – the entire point is to maintain a healthy, balanced economy. The equity, or measure of fairness, depends largely on who stands to gain the most. In the case of our current economy, it’s without question that that the restructuring of our tax code largely benefits the ultra wealthy. Had the entire country benefited equally from the tax reforms, then it would have been more equitable. The 2018 tax reform brought little political feasibility, as both political parties were at opposite ends of the restructure. Nonetheless, a compromise was reached. There was little social acceptability or public acceptance from this policy change, and many will end up paying considerably more tax because of it. I believe the administrative feasibility caught citizens off guard. I knew little to nothing of the tax reform until it actually happened. Whatever the case, the government reluctantly came together and enacted the policy. I do not know how technical feasibility plays into all of this, but I could only assume that the Federal Reserve had considerable reservations about the policy due to the fact that inflation will likely rise and mortgage interest rates will go up just because of it.
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